The Future of Internet

Twitter Engagement: RT and Replies

Posted in Behavior by markpeak on 30 กันยายน 2010

via ReadWriteWeb

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Future of Mobile Data Plan – No Unlimited Anymore

Posted in infrastructure by markpeak on 26 กันยายน 2010

“We can offer unlimited data, as long as usage on the network is reasonable,” he said. “But if I have an all-you-can-eat buffet, and the entire New England Patriots football team shows up for dinner, it’s going to run me out of business.”

Sprint Nextel CEO Dan Hesse

บริษัท Telco ทั้งหลายมีแนวโน้มจะนำวิธีคิดราคาแบบตามการใช้งานจริงมาใช้กับ 4G และ wireless data network ในอนาคต เพราะแบบ unlimited ถูก exploit มากจนเครือข่ายรับไม่ไหว อันนี้เป็นกรณีของ Sprint แต่ของเครือข่ายอื่นๆ (โดยเฉพาะ Verizon) ก็มีข่าวเรื่อยๆ

CNET: Sprint may consider usage-based pricing

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คนอเมริกัน 23% ไม่มีโทรศัพท์บ้าน, สถิติการใช้ mobile app

Posted in infrastructure, Statistics, survey by markpeak on 18 กันยายน 2010
ผลการสำรวจจาก Pew
  • 23% of Americans are now landline-free
  • 24% of mobile users are active app users
  • 13% of users have paid for an app
  • Games are the most popular apps, followed by news/weather, maps, and social networking.
  • Women use both game and social networking apps more heavily than men; men use productivity and finance apps more, and delete unused apps faster.
  • App users tend to be young, affluent males

ที่มา – Mobilecrunch

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ผลสำรวจชี้ คนเลิกอ่าน นสพ. หันมาอ่านเว็บแทนมากขึ้น

Posted in Online Media, survey by markpeak on 18 กันยายน 2010

According to the latest edition of the news consumption survey conducted biennially by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, 34% of those polled said they had gone online for news the previous day, while 31% said they had read a newspaper. That represents a reversal from 2008, when 29% of respondents had gotten news online the day before while 34% had read a newspaper. It’s the first time since Pew began asking people about the online news consumption that the Internet outpolled newspapers as a news source.

Source: DailyFinance

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Best Buy ลดพื้นที่ชั้นวาง CD/DVD

Posted in Online Media by markpeak on 15 กันยายน 2010

ไม่ต้องอธิบายความสำคัญของข่าวนี้มั้ง

“We’ll have another store reset before the holidays, which will include an increase in the space for higher-growth and, in the aggregate, higher-margin categories, like Best Buy Mobile, e-readers and gaming, with a heavy emphasis on new gaming platforms and pre-owned game titles,” Best Buy Chief Executive Brian Dunn said in a conference call with analysts Tuesday. “This will be enabled by our reorganization of the DVD and CD sections. The CD section in particular will shrink in space allotment.”

Investors.com

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เบลเยียมคุมเครื่อง DVR

Posted in Regulation by markpeak on 7 กันยายน 2010

เบลเยียมกำลังมีประเด็นเรื่องเครื่อง DVR (digital video recorder) เพราะไปกระทบรายได้ของผู้ให้บริการเคเบิลทีวี ที่ขายรายการเก่า

Belgian broadcasters try kneecapping DVRs, demand compensation จาก Ars

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ประเทศกลุ่ม BRIC จะมีคนใช้เน็ตเพิ่มขึ้นอีกเท่าตัว

Posted in prediction, Statistics by markpeak on 7 กันยายน 2010

BRICs, Indonesia to Double Internet Use, Report Says

บทความจาก BusinessWeek อ้างถึง report ของ BCG เรื่องตัวเลขการใช้เน็ตของประเทศกลุ่ม BRIC ในปี 2015

ยอดรวม

Brazil, Russia, India, China and Indonesia will double their Internet users to 1.2 billion by 2015, fueling growth at media companies and phone carriers, according to Boston Consulting Group Inc.

The countries will have three times the Internet users of the U.S. and Japan combined by then, up from about two times at the end of 2009, the consulting firm said in a report released today. Personal computers will double in the five countries to more than 920 million, and mobile phones with Internet access will aid growth, according to the report.

เฉพาะประเทศ

In India, only 7 percent of the population was using the Internet at the end of 2009, the lowest of the five countries in the report. Indian users spend half an hour online a day, and productivity functions such as e-mail and job-hunting are their most popular activities. That will change as media companies take advantage of the growth in users, which will reach 19 percent by 2015, Michael said.

Internet users in Brazil and Russia will surge by 2015 to 74 percent and 55 percent of the population from about one-third last year, according to the report. High-speed Internet connections will become more affordable for more of the population, and mobile-phone networks will increase their speeds to allow a wider variety of applications beyond text-messaging and limited Web access, Boston Consulting said.

The Future of Tech Regulation

Posted in Regulation by markpeak on 7 กันยายน 2010

Tech revolution spurs debate over antitrust law – บทความจาก San Francisco Chronicle

ประเด็นเรื่องการกำกับดูแล (regulation) กำลังถูกพูดถึงมากขึ้นเรื่อยๆ ในโลกไอที โดยเฉพาะประเด็นเรื่องผูกขาด (antitrust) ซึ่ีงเป็นแขนงหนึ่งของ regulation (แต่เป็นแขนงสำคัญ)

SFGate ตั้งคำถามว่า “Is antitrust outdated for the Information Age?”

เหตุหนึ่งก็เพราะว่าแนวทางในการ “วัด” การผูกขาดหรือการมีอำนาจเหนือตลาด (ซึ่งเป็นพื้นฐานสำคัญในการพิจารณาว่า รัฐควรเข้ามายุ่งหรือไม่) เริ่มจะใช้ไม่ได้แล้ว เพราะตลาดมัน convergence กันมั่วไปหมด


The traditional metrics for evaluating anti-competitive behavior focus on market power and the ability to substantially raise prices, factors that also get fuzzy with these tech platforms.

When a company is selling toasters to customers, it’s easy to measure their market share and evaluate their pricing. But toasters only compete against toasters (and maybe the occasional toaster oven). Operating systems, search engines and social networks, even dominant ones, sometimes face competition from other platforms.

ประเด็นเรื่องการวัดส่วนแบ่งตลาด

Hal Varian, chief economist at Google, highlighted the difficulty in measuring these things at the Aspen conference.

For instance, while studies put Google’s share of the online search market at anywhere from 66 percent to 81 percent, he said the company only has “maybe 2 percent” of the global advertising market. So which do you measure?

ตลาดเปลี่ยนเร็วมาก จนรัฐอาจตามเทคโนโลยีไม่ทัน

“The markets are changing rapidly,” said Albert Foer, president of the American Antitrust Institute in Washington, D.C., which has called on regulators to keep an especially close eye on emerging technologies like mobile advertising networks. “You certainly have to watch these guys like a hawk, figure out where they’re going and figure out what each move means strategically and whether it will be (anti-competitive) in the future.”

นอกจากนี้ยังมีประเด็นการใช้สองตลาด (หรือมากกว่านั้น) ควบคู่กัน เพื่อสร้างอำนาจผูกขาดระหว่างกันขึ้น ทำให้ยิ่งกำกับดูแลยากเข้าไปอีก

The literature can quickly make a layman’s eyes go cross, brimming with words only an economist could love like “multi-sided platforms,” “vertical restraints” and “indirect network effects.”

But here’s the gist: Companies like Microsoft Corp., Google or Facebook Inc. built platforms with several sets of constituents: the users of the operating system, search engine or social network on one side, and advertisers, application developers or various other partners on the other.

There’s often a virtuous cycle that kicks in, where more users draw more developers, advertisers and partners, who in turn draw more users, and so on. In the cases of these three platforms, this so-called network effect rapidly created dominant companies in their respective fields – in fact, arguably increasingly quickly with each successive company

ผลของการเข้ามากำกับดูแล อาจจะไม่ช่วยให้บริษัทเล็กอยู่ได้อยู่ดี (กรณี Netscape)

The academic experts reached for this story believe that the company was clearly abusing its market power in operating systems to squash a more innovative rival in the Internet browser space, namely Netscape. But here’s the thing: The government won the case, but who uses Netscape today? Its market share dropped from around 80 percent to less than half of 1 percent.

ในบทความยังพูดถึงหนังสือ The Keystone Advantage ถ้ามีโอกาสคงได้หามาอ่าน

A 2004 book, “The Keystone Advantage,” articulated a largely free-market take on how these platforms, or ecosystems, should be viewed by antitrust authorities. It argued that the interdependence of all these parties is self-regulating, at least when led by a type of company it dubbed a keystone. The book cited Microsoft as an example.

Rather than pursuing a “dominator strategy,” the Redmond, Wash., software giant sought to partner with vast numbers of developers and partners, recognizing that their success was intricately tied to its own.

“Keystone strategies should most often not be … a red flag for policy makers,” wrote the authors, Harvard Business School Professor Marco Iansiti and former Microsoft program manager Roy Levien. “Indeed, we believe that public policy could be designed to reinforce keystone-like behavior and avoid harming critical network hubs, considering that the associated damage could paralyze vast numbers of ecosystem participants.”

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